Dubai: Semiofficial news agencies in Iran published a chart Thursday suggesting the country’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard put sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz during the war, in a message that may be intended to pressure the US as uncertainty hangs over a days-old two-week ceasefire and further negotiations are expected in Pakistan.
The shaky ceasefire has been largely holding between the US, Israel and Iran, although Tehran and Washington have offered vastly different explanations of the initial terms.
Israel insists the agreement does not apply to their war against Hezbollah militants in Lebanon and has escalated deadly strikes there, leading Iran to claim it is violating the deal.
Meanwhile, Iran said it had won agreement that it would control the Strait of Hormuz, charge tolls and enrich uranium – while Trump said the deal called for the strait to be reopened and Iran to hand over its uranium stockpile.
The chart of the Strait of Hormuz was released by the ISNA news agency, as well as Tasnim, which is believed to be close to the Guard. They showed a large circle marked danger zone in Farsi over the Traffic Separation Scheme, which was the route ships take through the strait, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf through which 20 per cent of all oil and natural gas traded once passed.
The chart suggested ships travel further north through waters closer to Iran’s mainland near Larak Island, a route that some ships were observed taking during the war. It was dated from February 28 until Thursday, April 9, and it was unclear if the Guard had cleared any mining on the route since then.
Oil rose again to above USD 97 a barrel and Asian stocks were trading lower Thursday on scepticism over the ceasefire.
Brent crude, the international standard, was up 2.9 per cent to USD 97.46 per barrel. It had fallen briefly to below USD 92 following the temporary ceasefire announcement. Benchmark US crude was 3.7 per cent higher Thursday at USD 97.94 per barrel.
Ship-tracking data from Kpler showed only four vessels with their Automatic Identification System trackers on passed through the Strait of Hormuz Wednesday, the first day of the ceasefire.
However, that does not include so-called dark fleet vessels, which travel with their AIS trackers turned off. Many of those dark fleet ships carry sanctioned Iranian crude oil out to the open market.
Trump says US forces will remain in the area
US President Donald Trump posted a statement insisting that his surge of warships and troops will remain around Iran until such time as the REAL AGREEMENT reached is fully complied with.
Trump’s comments on his Truth Social platform appeared to be a way to pressure Iran.
If for any reason it is not, which is highly unlikely, then the Shootin’ Starts,’ bigger, and better, and stronger than anyone has ever seen before, Trump wrote.
He also insisted Iran would not be able to build nuclear weapons and the Strait of Hormuz WILL BE OPEN and SAFE.
The US and Iran both claimed victory after reaching the ceasefire agreement, and world leaders expressed relief. But more drones and missiles hit Iran and Gulf Arab countries after the deal was announced.
Israel’s strikes in Lebanon
Israel also intensified its attacks on the Hezbollah militant group in Lebanon Wednesday, hitting commercial and residential areas in Beirut. At least 182 people were killed in the deadliest day of fighting there. First responders searched overnight for missing people still under the rubble after the deadly Israeli strikes.
Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency reported Thursday that an Israeli strike overnight had killed at least seven people in southern Lebanon. The Israeli military did not immediately acknowledge the strike.
The violence threatens to scuttle what US Vice President JD Vance called a fragile deal.
Iran’s parliament speaker said Wednesday that planned talks were unreasonable because Washington had broken three of Tehran’s 10 conditions for an end to the fighting.
In a social media post, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf objected to Israeli attacks on Hezbollah, an alleged drone incursion into Iranian airspace after the ceasefire took effect, and the US refusal to accept any Iranian enrichment capabilities in a final agreement.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisted an end to the war in Lebanon was part of the ceasefire deal, but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump said the truce did not cover Lebanon.
When the deal was announced, the prime minister of Pakistan, who served as a mediator, said in a social media post that it applied everywhere, including Lebanon and elsewhere.
A New York-based think tank warned that the ceasefire hovers on the verge of collapse.
The Soufan Centre said Israel’s strikes on Lebanon Wednesday added to the risk the deal would fall apart.
Even if Lebanon was formally outside the deal, the scale of Israel’s strikes was likely to be viewed as escalatory, nonetheless, it wrote in an analysis published Thursday.
Israel’s strikes can be understood both as an effort to drive a wedge between Iran and its proxies and as a response to being allegedly sidelined in the original ceasefire discussions.
Peace talks expected in Pakistan
The White House said that Vice President JD Vance would lead the US delegation to talks in Islamabad aimed at ending the war, which are set to start Saturday.
Iran’s ambassador in Islamabad, Reza Amiri Moghadam, wrote on X that Iran’s negotiating team would arrive in the Pakistani capital Thursday night, but later deleted the post without providing further comment.
His initial post said the talks would be based on 10 points proposed by Iran.
Those include Iran enriching uranium, maintaining its control of the Strait of Hormuz and other issues that have been nonstarters in the past for Trump. The White House has repeatedly described the 10 points issued by Iran as false.
