Odisha News, Odisha Latest news, Odisha Daily - OrissaPOST
  • Home
  • Trending
  • State
  • Metro
  • National
  • International
  • Business
  • Feature
  • Entertainment
  • Sports
  • More..
    • Odisha Special
    • Editorial
    • Opinion
    • Careers
    • Sci-Tech
    • Timeout
    • Horoscope
    • Today’s Pic
  • Video
  • Epaper
  • News in Odia
  • Home
  • Trending
  • State
  • Metro
  • National
  • International
  • Business
  • Feature
  • Entertainment
  • Sports
  • More..
    • Odisha Special
    • Editorial
    • Opinion
    • Careers
    • Sci-Tech
    • Timeout
    • Horoscope
    • Today’s Pic
  • Video
  • Epaper
  • News in Odia
No Result
View All Result
OrissaPOST - Odisha Latest news, English Daily -
No Result
View All Result

Delayed monsoon can impact inflation; expect FY24 CPI at 5.2 %: Deutsche Bank

PTI
Updated: June 16th, 2023, 19:39 IST
in Business
0
Inflation
Share on FacebookShare on TwitterShare on WhatsAppShare on Linkedin

Mumbai: A German brokerage Friday warned that with the delayed monsoon, there is no scope for complacency on inflation even though official data for May has shown a cool-off.

Deutsche Bank said it expects the average Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) for FY24 to come to 5.2 per cent against the 5.1 per cent estimate of the Reserve Bank of India and the consensus 5 per cent for analysts.

Also Read

Donald Trump

Trump threatens 100% tariffs but hopes for ‘fantastic deal’ with China

3 hours ago
WTO

China files complaint, says India’s PLI schemes for auto, EV policy violate WTO norms

4 hours ago

“…With monsoon rains currently being 53 per cent below normal and given the history of food prices tending to shoot up in July following a poor start to monsoon, it is amply clear there is no scope for complacency at this stage as far as India’s inflation risks are concerned,” the brokerage said.

The possibility of a 5 per cent or lower headline inflation can only play out if we are lucky and food prices do not rise in July and August, it added.

July will be a key month as poor monsoon could drive a potentially sharp spike in July food price inflation, it said, adding that in the last two episodes of lower rainfall in 2009 and 2014, there were spikes in the month.

The rainfall is 53 per cent below the normal so far and the arrival of the southwest monsoon has been delayed across the country, leading to late sowing of the summer crop.

Amid reports of tomatoes getting dearer, the brokerage said that the prices of key vegetables, such as onions, potatoes, and tomatoes, could also rise sharply in the coming months.

“Given that there is a non-trivial threat of El Nino occurring in 2023, the delayed start to monsoon rains in India is worrying, particularly for the inflation trajectory going forward,” it said.

The weaker monsoon can also have an impact on the GDP growth front, the brokerage said, adding that the headline real GDP growth can fall by up to 0.30 per cent if the monsoon disappoints and agriculture sector growth turns out to be around 1 per cent as seen in the drought years of 2004, 2009, 2014 and 2015.

PTI

Tags: CPIDeutsche BankFY24IndiaInflationmonsoon
ShareTweetSendShare
Suggest A Correction

Enter your email to get our daily news in your inbox.

 

OrissaPOST epaper Sunday POST OrissaPOST epaper

Click Here: Plastic Free Odisha

#MyPaperBagChallenge

Shreyanshu Bal

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Subhajyoti Mohanty

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

D Rama Rao

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Ipsita

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Archana Parida

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Parbati Mohanty

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Jyotshna Mayee Pattnaik

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Pratik Kumar

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Archit Mohapatra

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Manas Samanta

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Mrutyunjaya Behera

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Keshab Chandra Rout

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Subhajyoti Mohanty

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Vandana Singh

December 12, 2019
?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Dibya Ranjan Das

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Priyabrata Mohanty

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Pratyasharani Ghibela

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Aman Kumar Barisal

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Sarfraz Ahmad

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Rajashree Manasa Mohanty

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Adrita Bhattacharya

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Anup Mahapatra

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Ankita Balabantray

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Tabish Maaz

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Narendra Kumar

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Anasuya Sahoo

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Ramakanta Sahoo

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Ramakanta Sahoo

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Pratik Kumar Ghibela

December 12, 2019
#MyPaperBagChallenge

Jhili Jena

December 12, 2019

Archives

Editorial

Trumpian Dilemma

October 20, 2025

After showing admirable and decisive toughness in defusing the crisis in the Middle East, US President Donald Trump has been...

Read moreDetails

Empty Ambition

Rights & Restrictions: AAKAR PATEL
October 19, 2025

When was the last time you read or saw something about India and the G20? And what do you recall...

Read moreDetails

Market Power

Power of Continuity
October 18, 2025

The power corridors are abuzz again, but not over taxes or budgets this time. Eyeballs are fixed on who’ll get...

Read moreDetails

Historic Deal

Trump, Netanyahu
October 15, 2025

There is no doubt the way fighting in Gaza was ended and a peace process set in motion in the...

Read moreDetails
  • Home
  • State
  • Metro
  • National
  • International
  • Business
  • Editorial
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • About Us
  • Advertise
  • Contact Us
  • Jobs
Developed By Ratna Technology

© 2025 All rights Reserved by OrissaPOST

  • News in Odia
  • Orissa POST Epaper
  • Video
  • Home
  • Trending
  • Metro
  • State
  • Odisha Special
  • National
  • International
  • Sports
  • Business
  • Editorial
  • Entertainment
  • Horoscope
  • Careers
  • Feature
  • Today’s Pic
  • Opinion
  • Sci-Tech
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Jobs

© 2025 All rights Reserved by OrissaPOST

    • News in Odia
    • Orissa POST Epaper
    • Video
    • Home
    • Trending
    • Metro
    • State
    • Odisha Special
    • National
    • International
    • Sports
    • Business
    • Editorial
    • Entertainment
    • Horoscope
    • Careers
    • Feature
    • Today’s Pic
    • Opinion
    • Sci-Tech
    • About Us
    • Contact Us
    • Jobs

    © 2025 All rights Reserved by OrissaPOST